By Matt Rose, HSG Trade Team Leader
The prevailing wisdom on the subject of free trade over the past decade has been that free trade is good, and any short-term challenges brought about by free trade are necessary bumps along the road to economic nirvana, we only needed to be patient. In the most recent election cycle, however, a decidedly different view helped a number of Democrats win seats in Congress. This stance, largely protectionist in nature, states that it’s time to close our border so that domestic workers are protected from the economic dangers inherent in free trade. After all, the argument goes, open trade means jobs transferred from the U.S. to foreign lands, and the only real winners in the free trade game are corporations and their rich executives.
Hope Street Group believes both positions ignore important realities, and that wise public policies must help the U.S. economy realize the economic benefits of free trade, while enhancing workers’ ability to mitigate the all-too-real risks posed by short term disruptions brought by more open trade.
Few would disagree that the economic benefits of free trade are considerable. Trade creates new markets for U.S. exporters, which creates jobs both with exporting firms as well as companies along the exporter’s supply chain and distribution channels. Trade also generally leads to lower prices (or at least lower rates of inflation), as lower tariffs reduce the cost to import to the U.S., which in turn makes various economic ‘inputs’ less expensive. This allows managers to find suppliers providing higher quality goods at lower prices, which are frequently passed along to the consumer. Lastly, more open trade is good for less developed nations—for example, lower barriers to entry for African farmers may literally be a matter of life or death for themselves and their families, and almost certainly would dramatically improve the quality of lives.
Nevertheless, the protectionist argument raises some legitimate concerns that are rooted in reality. Without restrictions, companies can, (and many have), moved jobs overseas to countries with highly educated and skilled workers who demand lower wages than their American counterparts. Such outsourcing can be considerably disruptive to local economies, not to mention the lives of individual workers, because regardless of the economy’s overall unemployment rate, if you are the one out of work, it feels like 100% unemployment. And the phenomenon is not just individual jobs; whole companies struggle (e.g. Ford) and at times entire industries have succumbed to the forces of free trade (textiles in the Southeast). And this phenomenon is relevant for an ever-widening group of U.S. workers – manufacturing has already been impacted, but technology allows an increasing range of white-collar jobs to be done anywhere in the world. Telecommuting may not only be working from home, but may eventually mean working from another continent.
So, what to do? First, policy makers need to acknowledge both the good of free trade and the risks inherent in its practice. Congress and the President should embrace free trade and pursue broad agreements preferably across regions, but if necessary, with individual nations. In order to restart momentum in discussions, U.S. policy makers should offer far greater access to our agricultural markets in exchange for support in IP enforcement and other policies reflecting the high-tech and service economy that exists in the U.S.
Simultaneously, policy makers should enhance workers’ abilities to navigate the challenges that flow from free trade. Policies which encourage personal but flexible retirement savings, medical savings, and other investment will have deep benefits for workers and the economy. Benefits should be easily portable from one job to another, and these benefits should be assets for workers in times of unemployment of underemployment. Further, the U.S. government should enrich their data reporting, providing more detailed data in a form usable by workers to make wise decisions; regional employment trends, for example, would allow workers to make appropriate decisions which would enhance the probability of finding appropriate work in a shorter time period. Lastly, the U.S. education system needs to be revitalized to ensure that today’s students are capable of acquiring tomorrow’s skills. In a high-tech, high-skill economy today’s high school education is insufficient.
By clearly identifying the benefits of free trade and the risks to workers, our leaders can craft wise policies that enhance the economic benefits of free trade, while helping workers mitigate the risks they face, and by doing so, will support a growing economy with wider opportunity for all.
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